> People are betting trillions that you're the one who's "on the wrong axis."
People are betting trillions of dollars that AI agents will do a lot of useful economic work in 10 years. But if you take the best LLMs in the world, and ask them to make a working operating system, C compiler or web browser, they fail spectacularly.
The insane investment in AI isn't because today's agents can reliably write software better than senior developers. The investment is a bet that they'll be able to reliably solve some set of useful problems tomorrow. We don't know which problems they'll be able to reliably solve, or when. They're already doing some useful economic work. And AI agents will probably keep getting smarter over time. Thats all we know.
Maybe in a few years LLMs will be reliable enough to do what you're proposing. But neither I - nor most people in this thread - think they're there yet. If you think we're wrong, prove us wrong with code. Get ChatGPT - or whichever model you like - to actually do what you're suggesting. Nobody is stopping you.
Get ChatGPT - or whichever model you like - to actually do what you're suggesting. Nobody is stopping you.
I do, all the time.
But if you take the best LLMs in the world, and ask them to make a working operating system, C compiler or web browser, they fail spectacularly.
Like almost any powerful tool, there are a few good ways to use LLM technology and countless bad ways. What kind of moron would expect "Write an operating system" or "Write a compiler" or "Write a web browser" to yield anything but plagiarized garbage? A high-quality program starts with a high-quality specification, same as always. Or at least with carefully-considered intent.
The difference is, given a sufficiently high-quality specification, an LLM can handle the specification->source step, just as a compiler or assembler relieves you of having to micromanage the source->object code step.
IMHO, the way it will shake out is that LLMs as we know them today will be only components, perhaps relatively small ones, of larger systems that translate human intent to machine function. What we call "programming" today is only one implementation of a larger abstraction.
People are betting trillions of dollars that AI agents will do a lot of useful economic work in 10 years. But if you take the best LLMs in the world, and ask them to make a working operating system, C compiler or web browser, they fail spectacularly.
The insane investment in AI isn't because today's agents can reliably write software better than senior developers. The investment is a bet that they'll be able to reliably solve some set of useful problems tomorrow. We don't know which problems they'll be able to reliably solve, or when. They're already doing some useful economic work. And AI agents will probably keep getting smarter over time. Thats all we know.
Maybe in a few years LLMs will be reliable enough to do what you're proposing. But neither I - nor most people in this thread - think they're there yet. If you think we're wrong, prove us wrong with code. Get ChatGPT - or whichever model you like - to actually do what you're suggesting. Nobody is stopping you.