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Where are American anti-trust instituitions?

There conference had interesting lectures. Will they be posted online?

It's just me or this article looks like propaganda? A traditional advertising nice is to plant news attacking your adversaries. This empty article looks like just part of the advertising machine of new Google model release.

My favorite AI feature is to put a YouTube link in Gemini and ask it to summarize. Or even better: put the link of a 20min video "5 ways to" and ask "what are the 5 ways?"

I think Gemini analyzes the transcription.

Can I do the same for free with Qwen3?


I don't believe that it just analyzes the transcription. I asked Gemini to look at the youtube video referenced on the site below and "build" something that duplicates that device. It did a pretty good approximation that it could not have done without going through the full video.

https://bitsnpieces.dev/posts/a-synth-for-my-daughter/


Same - I see a lot of "vaguely interesting but no way I'm spending 40 minutes on that" kind of videos, and it usually works. However, I have noticed it occasionally will just summarize the wrong video for me. It might be if the video is very new, or something? I'm not sure.

I'm impressed how USA companies became untrustful. Maybe this comes since Snowden whistle blowing, but it looks like the tendency is accelerating.

The case of Nicolas Guillou was an eye opener for many.

https://www.lemonde.fr/en/international/article/2025/11/19/n...


My first thought was that the sanctions are due to investigations into US presidents (like role of Bush in Second Gulf War or Obama/Clinton's role in Libyan Civil war) but it is due to Israel's PM. It's amazing how US admin is making their displeasure known in most destructive way (for their own and allies soft power) possible.

There are other cases:

Bush issued penalties for Brazilian judges that condemned corrupt ex president Bolsonaro

USA also stole Russian assets (as did before with Cuba and Venezuela)


You're implying that the Swiss government blames the American people for the decisions of the presidential seat, a seat with minimal actual power and three years left in office.

I disagree with your guess. This judge was making a statement about how it's wrong for Netanyahu to judge the people of Gaza by its political leadership. It wouldn't make sense then for the Swiss government to judge the people of America by its political leadership. Such a hypocrisy would make the opposite political statement.

I think it's most likely because of the recent AWS and Cloudflare outages having exposed the fragility of SaaS.

I don't see any reason to project anti American sentiment onto the article where there was none.


that ICC sanction that turned off that judge's outlook will be seen as the trigger point for the US reliquinshing its total domination of services (cloud and otherwise)

prior to that the risk of the US regime turning off its allies IT systems was purely theoretical

national data protection agencies will now ban their companies from storing data in AWS, Azure on GCP (eagerly egged on by their local competitors)


> I'm impressed how USA companies became untrustful.

They started stealing user data, at first discrete, then a bit more shameless and, this days, without even the slightest care.


The phrase below is worth the read:

> giving creative workers more rights without addressing their market power is like giving your bullied kid more lunch money. There isn't an amount of lunch money you can give that kid that will buy them lunch – you're just enriching the bullies


Misleading phrases like this are why I dislike Doctorow.

Just before that he tries to sell us on the idea that there are no alternatives when actually there are. For example, you don’t have to publish a book through the Big Five. There are many large and small independent publishers, and some authors have had good luck with self-publishing.

I do think copyright law needs reform, but don’t trust Doctorow to explain it properly.


And what alternatives existed for Wolf in the 80s? What value were publishers providing?

Like many industries, book publishers integrated: editing, production, marketing, and distribution. They may have also helped with licensing.

Would _Who Censored Roger Rabbit_ have been the success it was with a different publisher? These counterfactuals are hard to prove! (Look at the discussions this year around k pop demon hunters - how much credit does Netflix get for growing an objectively good film's audience? Reasonable people debate this!)

The big publishers do provide utility, but there's also an incredible asymmetry (they have trivially made many more book deals than any of their authors)


You don't need to tie yourself to distributor control if you catch fire and maintain your rights. It's never been easier to build your audience and personal brand.

VivziePop with Hazbin Hotel and Helluva Boss was able to do this on YouTube and then ink deals with Amazon and merch retailers (where the real money is). Her shows alone rake in over $100m and the merch significantly more.

Glitch with Murder Drones and Amazing Digital Circus did the same. And they've stolen a lot of high profile folks from Disney for Knights of Guinevere and upcoming shows.

Psychic Pebbles did it and how has an Adult Swim show. Joel Haver, lots of others...

This is basically what George Lucas was able to engineer with his 20th Century Fox deal to maintain merch rights. But it's even better for creators today.


It feels like you're not responding to my actual point, so let me repeat my first sentence:

> And what alternatives existed for Wolf in the 80s?


Really? It isn't obvious?

> The big publishers do provide utility, but there's also an incredible asymmetry (they have trivially made many more book deals than any of their authors)

Literally doesn't matter in today's meta for people making music, video, or games. A substack or podcast following will do the same for authors.

It's not that this isn't hard. I'd argue it's harder to get noticed today now that everyone can make content. It's just that the power asymmetry is disappearing because you can hold onto more of your rights.

Today it's about building a brand following. If you can do that, the publishers will chase you.

It wasn't available for Wolf because nobody realized this strategy yet. A lack of Internet made it more difficult, but not impossible. George Lucas kind of got it.

Now it's glaringly obvious. Just not easy.


> Literally doesn't matter anymore

This is incredibly incorrect! The examples you've pointed to illustrate the smiling curve [1].

Publishers still have an enormous amount of leverage and power, and that is extremely important for other businesses operating in that space. Not everybody is an individual creator, and some creators prefer to work on small teams. You're describing this incredible transformation of the value chain (who provides value, who captures value) while missing the point!!

> It's just that the power asymmetry is disappearing

This is so fundamentally untrue. Do individuals have more power? Yes! Their BATNA (best alternative to a negotiated agreement) is now "fine I can self publish and survive." That doesn't mean there's not a huge power asymmetry still. Without the blessing of Microsoft, Sony, Apple, valve it is hard to get my game featured. Can I still go viral? Of course! But listen to Zach Gage talk about the funding difference for making a game for Apple Arcade. It prefunds development and allows him to hire a team.

As for rights negotiations, even Taylor Swift had some difficulty reclaiming ownership of her masters. The power asymmetry is alive and well.

> Would you rather I delete my comment

No, I want you to read more carefully and engage with the things people are actually saying and not what you think they are saying from briefly skimming what they write.

[1] https://stratechery.com/concept/aggregation-theory/smiling-c...


> You're describing this incredible transformation of the value chain (who provides value, who captures value) while missing the point!!

Yikes. I really do not appreciate your unkind tone in these last few messages.

There's a really big trend you're missing by focusing on old anecdotes.

The creator economy is on pace to exceed the size of Hollywood and the music industry combined.

There are kids on Roblox making six figures while still in school. The next generation knows what's up - they want to be YouTubers and not movie stars, because they know how fundamentally the world has changed. How a world that once relied on nepotism is opening up more opportunity. (It's still hard, but you don't need the "right parents" anymore.)

$100M brands and franchises are launching on YouTube.

Publishers and distributors will take what they can get. They make money on volume now, and if they screw over publishers, new players enter to fill the gap.

You could even go raise capital on that narrative of servicing the creator economy. The VCs I've talked to are excited about it.

> But listen to Zach Gage talk about the funding difference for making a game for Apple Arcade.

It's becoming easier than ever to raise funding for video game development. There are now dozens of funds specially for this. Including funds that give you six figures without a demo if you've already worked in the industry.

> As for rights negotiations, even Taylor Swift had some difficulty reclaiming ownership of her masters.

Taylor Swift is a billionaire and she negotiated her early contracts two decades ago. Before steaming, ie. ancient times, ie. when dinosaurs roamed the earth. And she's found ways to wiggle out of them.


> There's a really big trend you're missing by focusing on old anecdotes.

We're talking about the same trend: the transformation of the publishing industry across all different types of media.

I'm not missing it. I'm paying attention to the context of this transformation and what it implies for all of the participants, not just individuals.

The point I was making in my original post is that an author in the 80s did not have the same options as a creator today. You have repeatedly responded by talking about how creators today have so much power.

Please, go read a piece about the smiling curve from Ben Thompson, because it's important. This trend implies that margins accrue to the two ends of the spectrum. Yes, individuals with low costs win, but also there is another side to the smiling curve. While life can be good as a YouTuber, TikTok, Meta, and Google are not taking risks on content like the publishers of old but they still reap the profits from media production. It is the creators who now bear the risks.

This also means that the traditional mechanisms of funding your book through an advance are fundamentally different (they exist, yes, but they're different)

And because the smiling curve implies a hollowing out of the middle, it is harder to survive as small publisher (see the transformation and aggregation of magazines, newspapers, tv stations)

Am I excited about this future? Yes! But it's not an unmitigated good. And one can't understand it if they don't know any of the historical context or see what's happening to other players in the industry


You keep trying to turn the other person's question into a different one that they didn't ask. That's the only unkind thing happening here.

His book "Why None Of My Books Are Available On Audible: And why Amazon owes me $3,218.55" captures the soul, heart, nuance (and grammar) that he repeatedly brings to these issues.

He once sat in his basement for an entire month "playing the DRM off" his record collection. Resulting in twice compressed 128k MP3s and innumerable blog posts.


> He once sat in his basement for an entire month "playing the DRM off" his record collection

What are you referring to here?


He set up two computers and manually played low-res DRM-protected MP3 files out of one and into the other for weeks, documenting the process on BoingBoing. He touted this not only as freedom but "preservation."

> He set up two computers and manually played low-res DRM-protected MP3 files out of one and into the other for weeks, documenting the process on BoingBoing. He touted this not only as freedom but "preservation."

I see. When I hear "record collection" I think of vinyl records, so I was quite confused how DRM was relevant there.


Sounds like the analog hole. You play DRM material out the audio port and at the same time capture the input of that and re-encode in a non-DRM format.

Why is it misleading? The fact that alternatives exist doesn't mean that they're any good .

It's true that the alternatives may not be good, but if so it suggests that maybe publishing is a business that requires certain behavior.

I think the best thing that Doctorow could do is set up his own publishing business and show the big companies the right way to do it. If he's right, he'll get the best new talent and quickly succeed.

But I'm guessing he'll discover what the major companies know: the consumer is fickle, developing a new book/movie/song is expensive, and only a few hits pay for the rest.


Doctorow has been distributing most of his books for free for at least 20 years.

That's how I read them as a kid with no money.


Or set up a social content recommendation system.

There are plenty of fine, even higher quality and credibility, publishers out there.

In fact even a mediocre university press likely has higher standards, in just about every conceivable quality aspect, than even the best imprints of the big 5.


Yes but do the books make more money and get more distribution? Quality is not the critical factor here

Good or bad seems like its about quality?

Yes, of the publishing method at giving authors ROI. This should be pretty clear from the context.

Giving authors ROI?

Why would anyone, excluding authors, even want low quality books to have any ROI?


> some authors have had good luck with self-publishing

Indeed. What are the relative statistics on authors who have managed to bootstrap themselves vs. authors who make a comfortable living through the Big Five?


According to this survey:

"The median income of full-time self-published authors in 2022 was $12,800 from books and $15,000 total from all author-related activities. Full-time self-published authors who had been publishing since at least 2018 reported a median income of $24,000 compared to $13,700 in 2018, a 76 percent increase."

Traditionally published commercial authors made about $10,000 more.

https://authorsguild.org/news/key-takeaways-from-2023-author...


It’s not common, but it does happen. Andy Weir, author of “The Martian” and “Project Hail Mary”, originally gave his work away for free online on his website. He only self-published to Kindle (for the lowest possible price setting, 99 cents) because some of his fans didn’t know how or didn’t want to manually install his home-rolled ePubs on their devices, and begged him for the Amazon/Kindle distribution.

Hugh Howey is a similar case.

He describes what he sees as a monopsony. That is not misleading. You can have lots of options and still be stuck in this monopsonistic (sp?) world that controls your rights and your financial future.

You're correct that you no longer need to go through one of the big five publishers to get your book in front of readers.

But Doctorow also says:

> or just one company that controls all the ebooks and audiobooks

And this is largely true. I don't think there's any viable path for self-publishing success right now that doesn't go through Amazon.


>There are many large and small independent publishers

Are there many small press distributors? How's SPD doing these days?


Artists can put their big boy pants on and negotiate better deals instead of crying about them retroactively.

This is the problem with basic income if you don’t also increase the housing supply: landlords will just raise rents and soak it all up.

It does, however, make providing housing more profitable, which, on the margins, will drive more landlords and home builders into the market, decreasing long term costs (relative to a straight 100% increase relative to the basic income). So you might send everyone $100 per month and costs go up $100 per month, until supply chains shift towards supplying lower income humans with more goods and services than they used to get, at which point costs will decrease (from the $100 increase).

With enough forewarning, suppliers could anticipate the increased demand and prepare for it.


Not if desirable places restrict zoning in a way that prevents more housing from being legal to build.

A major factor in what makes places more desirable is access to jobs. In the case of full UBI, it will be easier to: stay unemployed, negotiate a remote work contract or launch a new venture from anywhere, so I expect that we'll see people spread out a lot more.

No need to stay in a "desirable place" (read: place with jobs) if you have UBI.

> It does, however, make providing housing more profitable, which, on the margins, will drive more landlords and home builders into the market, decreasing long term costs

Landlords are, by and large, not the ones who create new housing units, and "lack of profit potential is" also generally not the main impedance to creating new housing in most locations either.


>and "lack of profit potential is" also generally not the main impedance to creating new housing in most locations either.

It somewhat is. Housing builders can only do so many projects per whatever cycle they run. They will optimize towards building fewer projects that are highly profitable rather than building tons of low income housing or starter homes that each have much lower profit.

Builders don't want to scale up, they want to make money. Building would also be abysmal to scale up anyway, because it's somewhat skilled labor that you pay peanuts for.

This is just one of the ways that wealth inequality results in market failures.

People with lots and lots of wealth value each individual dollar significantly less, and are therefore willing to part with significantly more dollars per unit of service or product. That means you always get a much higher profit margin targeting stupid rich people than anything else. So everything is built around bilking these dumb but wealthy people for everything you can, and nobody builds or sells much to the poorer people. This drives prices for things up in general, and starves the market of oxygen for meeting the needs of less wealthy people.

Ask any developer, big or small, who their target market is, and they will not say "poor people" and this has been true for decades, and the difference between "poor" and "not poor" has only continued to grow.


Really, any place where building falls behind demand you should expect the lower profit affordable housing to be the first projects cancelled. Economically it only makes sense to service the affordable housing market if the luxury housing market is too saturated to support more projects.

Or you could have progressive real estate tax so you don't let the bully keep the stolen lunch money and you can give it to your kid again.

That would be amazing, but places like California prohibit that as well.

haha, you probably want to replace "their" with "[media conglomerates']"

In my third world big city, a lot of people sleeping in the streets are the ones who don't have money to pay public transport for their far way homes. The jobs are downtown. It's perverse.


They don't need to hire anyone. They just prompted Claude to write for them. :-)


Leaning in the "China Menace" will also give you points with the USA Gov.

I can see that they can detect an attack using their tools, but tracing it to an organization "sponsored" by the Chinese government looks like bullshit marketing. How they did it? A Google search? I have the Chinese Gov in higher grounds. They wouldn't be easily detected by a startup without experience in infosec.


Of it can read ancient handwriting, it will be a revolution for historians work.

My wife is a historian and she is trained to recognize old handwriting. When we go to museums she"translates" the texts for the family


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