I think from a scientific view, allowing and observing the experiment bitcoin is extremely interesting. Nothing like it has challenged economic thinking in the last decades.
It is very productive for a large population of the world.[0]
Not everyone gets paid in a stable currency or has easy access to it.
How it is challenging economic thinking? There is a near-zero chance cryptocurrencies replace an actual currency as the global reserve, so it's going to continue to be a novelty until people move on to something shinier.
> Not everyone gets paid in a stable currency or has easy access to it.
Bitcoin doesn't appear to solve this issue at all. How is private manipulation of Bitcoin any different than an authoritarian manipulating the local currency? If I was in a country with unstable currency, I'd want Euro or US Dollars, not bitcoin.
> What you refer to as private manipulation is called supply and demand, maybe try reading Econo101 :)
Does Econ 101 cover asset bubbles or financial manipulation? It's been so long, that I can't remember, but I promise you that prices can reflect things other than supply and demand once you manage to get past that first class.
> Bitcoin doesn't need permission though
No authoritarian would EVER cut off or filter the internet in their country. Nope, has never happened, will never happen.
> No authoritarian would EVER cut off or filter the internet in their country. Nope, has never happened, will never happen.
You're right, Myanmar just did that! Scary to think of it. Fortunately Bitcoin works over more communication protocols, but no internet is certainly not in any way easily defendable today. But i still think that physical and banked usd, euros and gold are more easily seizable by a government. A no internet scenario is probably economic suicide by any government.
I really don't get what you mean by financial manipulation in regards to bitcoin.
Cutting off internet is virtually the first thing an authoritarian government does at the sign of unrest. I want to say there's been something like a dozen in the last decade. If you include incomplete internet shutdowns, that list would probably grow well over 100. Hell, it's not just limited to authoritarian governments: the UK requires ISPs to filter certain sites.
I would not bet that the government is incapable of cutting off access to bitcoin.
The supply got less, while the demand didn't decrease. The intrinsic value increased because of the network and lindy effect, which is why institutional investors jumped in. Bitcoin entered a speculative bubble the moment the first block was created.
I would say we just don't know the price of bitcoin yet, hence the heavy volatility.
I wouldn't price it at all, because I don't see it as valuable, and I don't gamble, so I'm not going to short it. The supply got less because people bought bitcoin based on media hype. That's pretty classic manipulation.
I'm astonished that you have such a strong opinion, while not even trying to understand how pricing works. Good thing you're not gambling on that!
Media hype typically drives demand, not supply. Supply in bitcoin is a very fundamental concept and controversial topic, which is a function of proof of work, difficulty adjustment and block subsidy.
What exactly in supply and demand is manipulation? You can't just shout manipulation and argue with "media hype", which historically for bitcoin is very mixed[0] and affects any asset class?
Such a horrific, unproductive use of energy is definitely a bug from a scientific perspective, maybe not for a financier.