I’ll try, but there’s no way if the core argument expresses a sentiment a large enough portion of the thread participants agree with.
I think there’s very little traditional trolling on HN (you likely won’t hardly ever see it without showdead on). The problem is when you open a thread that blatantly off topic (but it’s ok because nowadays we play really loose with submission guidelines, and use more general guidelines to invalidate more specific ones)
The problem is these make it onto the front page, and it’s just disingenuous flamewarring all the way down. You’ll never beat that.